Voters Deserve Fiscal Responsibility

This article was featured in The Bulletin (Philadelphia-area newspaper) on 8/19/09. You can read the online newspaper edition here, or check out the print column each week.

I serve on my township’s finance committee, and recently had the chance to review the tax revenue projections for the upcoming years. The projection for our township, which has not been hit nearly as hard as most of the country, is a revenue decline of approximately 10% over the next year and a half. Since tax proceeds typically trail the economy, we expect that rate to increase through 2010.

This got me thinking. If we expect a decline of over 10% in revenues, shouldn’t we be cutting spending at the same rate?

In business, decreased earnings mean decreased spending and investment. Budgetary control is the core of financially sound organizations. In personal finance, decreased wages mean decreased consumption. Families across the nation are facing the harsh reality of a prolonged recession, and wise families are reducing spending, scaling back lifestyle, and investing for the future. The most prudent saved enough during times of prosperity to sustain during the downturn. If principles of financial prudence are clear for business and personal finance, why don’t we expect the same from government?Government Spending

In reality, quite the opposite has occurred. Across the country, local and state governments are scrambling to raise emergency taxes to prevent bankruptcy. They failed to plan and save, and locked themselves into unsustainable spend heavy budgets. The federal government, similarly, has a projected year-end deficit of $1.84 trillion, in spite of which the current administration forwarded the largest non-wartime budget in U.S. history. That $3 trillion budget does not yet include the President’s proposed $1.6 trillion health overhaul. Tax-and-spend policies have always been controversial, but massive spending without regard to mounting debt is more than controversial, it’s foolish.

Why does fiscal irresponsibility persist with such severity in government? Though varied and complex, there are two primary causes. The first is best summed up by a classic political science axiom: Government spends money for political purposes; citizens spend money for economic purposes. That is, a politician is incentivized by the political outcomes of his spending, while an individual is incentivized by the personal outcomes of his spending.

In a democracy, the desired political outcome is often reelection or increased power. Politicians face a near constant cycle of elections, and often make promises to secure voter loyalty. Political action, not stagnation, draws attention and votes, and politicians feel they must spend to demonstrate that action. As a result, the local politician who promises $150,000 to improve local parks will spend that $150,000 even in a downturn. He dare not slash it from the budget, or he breaks his promise and faces voter backlash. So, rather than constrain spending like a wise family or business, he will simply raise taxes. I see it firsthand in local government all the time.

On a national level, the examples are too numerous to recount. An obvious and egregious example, however, occurred recently in the passage of the so-called stimulus package. Only 35% of stimulus money was allocated toward growth producing spending (tax cuts plus infrastructure investment), while the remainder was simply earmarked for political agenda items ($4 billion for ACORN; $400 million for global warming research; $150 million for the Smithsonian, to name a few). Not to mention the projected $2.5 million being spent on new temporary road signs with the red, blue, and green stimulus logo, touting construction projects funded by the bill. Why do you think the Obama Administration wants to use taxpayer money to advertise its construction projects? For political purposes, or for economic purposes?

The second issue is in part a cause of governmental structure. Politicians are in the unique position of spending someone else’s money without significant accountability. Because of the nature of funding through taxation, politicians draw from an extremely large pool of payers. So, when the stimulus authorizes $2.5 million for propaganda road signs, it averages out to approximately 20 cents per taxpayer—hardly enough to stage a protest over.

The taxation process also separates taxpayers from feeling the direct impact of government spending. The money comes from you (often automatically deducted), goes to the IRS, is sent to thousands of government agencies, and is then sent back out the door. Imagine what it would be like if instead you were directly and proportionately billed for each government spending initiative. You would feel the impact directly—that would certainly be cause for protest.

In the end, most politicians will spend money out of personal political interest, the affects of which will not be directly felt by taxpayers. They have little incentive to adhere to fundamental budgetary principles, and extraordinary incentive not to. The resulting action is an intellectually dishonest process of political finance. When revenue increases, government claims it can afford to increase spending. But when revenue decreases, rather than decrease spending at the same rate, government claims it must raise taxes.

Simply because this process exists, however, does not mean that it should. Government officials have a responsibility to act in the interests of their constituents. No voter ever casted a vote to serve the self-interests of a candidate. Elected officials have a fiduciary duty to serve those they represent, and that duty ought to compel fiscal responsibility and budgetary prudence.

We need leaders committed to constrain spending, who treat each dollar as if it is their own. We need leaders that realize every dollar they spend is a dollar taken from their constituents. We need leaders that save, rather than spend, during times of prosperity in order to prepare for times of scarcity. It is time we demand fiscal responsibility.  

-Matt Benchener from TruPolitics.net

Why The Stimulus Failed

TruPolitics.net is proud to welcome writer Edward Mahee. Mr. Mahee boasts an extensive legal background, and is an emerging conservative thinker. Expect articles from Mr. Mahee every other week.

For the last two years, and especially since last Fall, the struggling economy has been the most pressing issue facing the nation.  A number of efforts have been undertaken to revive the economy, but with unemployment at 9.5% and rising, and no sign of economic recovery on the horizon, nothing seems to have worked. 

The most public and most colossal effort yet undertaken was by the federal government in the form of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of Government Spending2009—the so-called “Stimulus Plan”—passed in February at the insistence of President Barack Obama. The Stimulus Plan, totaling $787 billion, was sold to the American public as essential to protect the economy from further trouble.  According to the president last February, “This is not your ordinary, run-of-the-mill recession.”  It’s “the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.” 

Why was such a stimulus necessary?  The principal underlying the Stimulus Plan is derived from the work of British economist John Maynard Keynes. Keynes asserted that in an economic downturn, when the private sector is unwilling to spend or invest, government should step in and spend in order to keep the economy afloat until private sector spending recovers.

The trouble with Keynes’s formula is that the government is not a producer of wealth or value. All the money the government has it acquires through taxes, borrowing or printing. 

Therefore, when the federal government spends $100, it takes $100 from the private economy.  When the government raises $100 in taxes, it is $100 less that a private person or entity has to save, invest, hire, build, or otherwise dispose of.  If the government chooses instead to borrow that $100, that money is not being invested in other capital markets. When the government instead chooses to print $100, it inflates the currency.  For every extra dollar the government prints, every other dollar in circulation depreciates in its purchasing power—the value of each individual dollar is diluted.  Inflating the currency is in effect a tax, as the government takes value away from the dollars held by private parties.

Because government can only spend by taking from the private economy, Keynesian stimuli focused on government spending have never worked.  In this country, we have had two runs of the Keynesian experiment, both of which predictably ended in disaster. 

During the 1930s, Presidents Hoover and Roosevelt massively increased the level of spending by the federal government. The effort was a failure. Roosevelt’s Treasury Secretary, Henry Morgenthau admitted in 1939, “We are spending more money than we have ever spent before and it does not work.  I want to see this country prosperous.  I want to see people get jobs.  We have never made good on our promises.  I say after eight years of this administration we have just as much unemployment as when we started and an enormous debt to boot.” 

The second Keynesian experiment was tried during the 1970s, during which President Nixon declared, “We are all Keynesians now.”  The result was again a

John Maynard Keynes

John Maynard Keynes

disaster, culminating in the creation of the Misery Index, the combination of the inflation and unemployment rates.

Why then are many in Congress and the Administration insistent that we walk down this path again?  The answer is not

about economic recovery, but about power.  Left to its own devices, any free market economy will recover from trouble.  We only need look to our own history.  The American economy has suffered a number of setbacks and has always recovered without resorting to massive intervention by the federal government (see the recession of the early 1890’s, 1920’s and 1980’s). 

But an economy recovering on its own is no way for a politician to increase his power or reward favored constituencies.  Under the intellectual cover provided by Mr. Keynes, politicians will tax and spend.  In the name of aiding economic recovery, politicians will take from the private, productive economy and give that money in exchange for votes.  The effect of this is to keep unemployment high and dependence on the federal government for largess higher still. 

The Stimulus Plan is not and never was about recovery, but about control by the government over individuals.  The government will happily take from you what is yours and give to another in exchange for that person’s vote.  But that largess will not effectively create jobs or produce wealth.  And maybe that is the point in the end.  When individuals have jobs and can rely on their own friends and families in times of need, they don’t need politicians—and politicians will always do everything they can to remain needed.  Mr. Keynes has given those politicians their excuse.

-Edward Mahee from TruPolitics.net

President Obama’s Bridge to Nowhere

“This is President Obama’s economy now”

-Congressman Eric Cantor

At the beginning of his term in January, President Obama warned the nation that it faced an economic crises not seen since the Great Depression. Without swift action, he said, the downward spiral would continue and the American economy would suffer the consequences. His solution was a $787 billion stimulus plan, which the administration claimed would rescue the economy by injecting it with new, job creating spending. The Obama Administration admitted that the legislation was full of earmarks, but said it was a price the nation simply had to pay for immediate action. Bridge to Nowhere

That immediate action, the administration promised, would keep unemployment below 9%, and would spur a broad recovery in the stock market. Thursday, the unemployment rate hit 9.5%, its highest level in 26 years. The stock market closed at 8,280.74, down nearly 6% for the year. It appears the $787 billion “stimulus” was anything but.

The ineffectiveness of the stimulus is not surprising. Only a little over one third of the money was allocated toward growth producing spending (tax cuts plus infrastructure investment), while the remainder was simply earmarked for political agenda items. Among the waste were the following:  1. Nearly $4 billion to ACORN (the far-left group that helped President Obama get elected); 2. $400 million for global-warming research; 3. $20 billion for food stamps and $36 billion for expanded unemployment welfare (welfare expansion policies long hoped for by Democrats); 4. $50 million for the National Endowment for the Arts; 5. $150 million to the Smithsonian museum. Did anyone actually expect items such as these to stimulate the economy?

And for all of the rhetoric surrounding the need for swift action—a favorite of the Obama Administration (see healthcare; the mortgage, financial, and auto bailouts; cap-and-trade environmentalism)—only 23% of the total spending is slated to be spent this fiscal year. The rest will be spent through 2011, long after most economists expect the natural market rebound to occur.

Democrats have been understandably silent on economic issues in the past month, and the administration has been hesitant to offer a defense of its now failed policy. Its only argument to date: 150,000 have been “saved” because of stimulus spending. When asked how that number was determined, the Obama Administration said it was based on theoretical statistical modeling that predicted job savings through spending initiatives. Since the President took office, the economy has shed over 2 million jobs. Unemployment now stands well beyond the levels the administration promised the stimulus would help maintain. Unfortunately for the administration, fact has inconveniently trumped theory.

President Obama needs to be held accountable for the failure of his policy and lack of economic leadership. At a time when the country desperately needed serious, thoughtful action, his administration forwarded a highly partisan pork-filled bill. The portion of the bill that legitimately sought stimulus spending was based on unproven and controversial Keynesian economic theory. No country has ever used government funds to spend its way out of a recession–ever. Not to mention that the stimulus greatly expanded an already dangerous deficit which will only prolong the obama's changedownturn.

And all of this waste for what? Democrats saw an opening (“never let a serious crisis go to waste”) and were able to push forward a political wish list they had been holding for decades.  The Obama Administration decided that it could allocate resources and use consumer money better than consumers themselves could. They failed to realize a powerful economic axiom: Every dollar the government spends will be spent for political purposes; every dollar the economy (businesses and consumers) spend will be spent for economic purposes. Now the economy, and American citizens, are suffering the consequences.

With the country now focused on healthcare, Justice Sotomayor, and cap-and-trade, the egregious error of the stimulus may be left behind. But perhaps not. According to a Rasmussen Reports poll, 45% of Americans believe the remainder of the stimulus spending should be canceled, and close to 40% now hold President Obama responsible for the nation’s economic struggles. Those numbers have accelerated greatly in the past two months alone.

Perhaps the nation is beginning to realize that not all “change” is good change. Many Americans were frustrated with the Bush Administration and the Republican Party. But I doubt that aggressive partisan politics, radical government expansion, and socialist policy were the change they had “hoped” for.

-Matt Benchener from TruPolitics.net

The Obama Stimulus: A need for sober judgment

With a political environment and public calling for action, and a party and President in command of nearly all policy intiatives…what would you do if you were in power?

The current economic downturn, wrought with daily headlines decrying financial crisis, has created a political environment starving for action. Coupled with the sweeping popularity of the newly elected President, the state of the economy provides a powerful opportunity for the Obama Administration to get something done. This is nearly always true for Presidents in a time of perceived or actual crisis—the status quo is never acceptable for voters when the world seems to be falling around them, so movement in any direction is immediately popularized. People often forget, for example that over 75% of Americans supported the Iraq War in the weeks prior to invasion, largely because it was so closely positioned to 9/11. And, regardless of political preference, most people believe that some action needs to be taken to reverse the downturn. In short, we are a nation ready to be lead, ready for movement, or even change.

“Never let a serious crisis go to waste. What I mean by that is it’s an opportunity to do things you couldn’t do before.”

-Rahm Emanuel, White House Chief of Staff

 It is also clear that the Democrats control the House and Senate by a wide margin, and have plenty of political capital to spend behind one of the most popular newly elected Presidents in our nation’s history. So, with a political environment and public calling for action, a party and President in command of nearly all policy initiatives…what would you do if you were in power? What they have done with the recently proposed $825 billion stimulus is not terribly surprising given the political opportunity, but it is deeply troubling. The “stimulus” is anything but, with only 23% ($90 billion) going toward a growth stimulus package (tax cuts plus infrastructure investment), and the other $735 billion going toward various political agenda items. Among the most egregious pork-filled agenda items:

 

1. Nearly $4 billion to ACORN (the far-left group that helped President Obama get elected); 2. $2.4 billion for carbon-capture demonstration projects (a hot button environmentalist agenda item); 3. $400 million for global-warming research; 4. $20 billion for food stamps and $36 billion for expanded unemployment welfare (welfare expansion policies long hoped for by Democrats); 5. $50 million for the National Endowment for the Arts; 6. $150 million to the Smithsonian museum.

 

Those items are simply the tip of the iceberg, and represent what the Wall Street Journal so adeptly called “A 40-Year Wish List” for the Democratic Party. Will $150 million to help update the Smithsonian’s collection help thaw Wall Street’s credit freeze? Will $2.4 billion for a controversial environmentalist carbon-capture program bring back the housing market? Will $4 billion to the extremist group ACORN spur business investment and job growth? This is not to mention the vast expansions of welfare programs, which have been shown to have a direct inverse correlation to job rates and economic growth.

 

Here, it is not important to discuss the merits of many of these proposals in and of themselves–some of them might even be important in the long run. However, at a time when the nation needs a serious answer to a complex financial problem, there is simply no justification for these line items. They certainly do not deserve to fall under the touted umbrella of a stimulus or economic rescue plan.

 

What we are seeing is a troubling display of partisan politics in a time where the country needs sober judgment and unifying leadership. If President Obama wishes to be the great unifier he spoke so much about, he will need to realign his policy to reflect the needs of his country, not the wishes of his party. This is something both Democrats and Republicans can agree upon.

 

-Matt Benchener from TruPolitics.net

 

 

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